In a detailed analysis of the upcoming Bihar assembly elections, pollster Pradeep Gupta highlighted a significant sentiment among NDA voters, stating, ‘there is a large chunk among the NDA votes who are hoping somehow or the other that somehow ISS bar toh BJP ka CM ban jaayega’. The discussion also touched upon Prashant Kishor’s electoral debut, with the consensus being that while he could act as a ‘vote cutter’, he is unlikely to command the 15-20% vote share needed to create a triangular contest. Caste dynamics remain central, with a study noting 57% of Bihar’s electorate prefers leaders from their own caste. On the opposition front, despite Rahul Gandhi’s ‘Bihar vote adhikar yatra’, the Congress party was referred to as the ‘kamzor kadhi’ or weak link of the ‘maha gadbandhan’, with pollster Yashwant Deshmukh suggesting the ‘vote-chori’ campaign lacks traction among swing voters.
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